Thursday, February 5, 2009

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Disadvantages of the Automated Forex Trading

In my last post I’ve described the best advantages of the automated Forex trading. But, of course, I understand that the trading using the expert advisors isn’t always something good. Everything has its own pros and cons; so the automated trading has its own disadvantages and I’ll try to describe them in this article:

1. No intuition to help your trading. Computers and programs simply don’t have anything similar to that mystical human feeling. While some traders don’t think that the intuition can be helpful in trading, others rely on it — such traders probably won’t be pleased with the automated trading.
2. Smooth trade execution and uninterrupted run-time of the expert advisors is critical with many trading systems. Unfortunately, it’s something very hard to achieve running EA from your home or work PC. That means that you’d require some dedicated server to run your automated trading.
3. Some types of strategies are simply impossible to implement into the real expert advisors. The chart pattern or wave analysis and fundamental analysis are extremely hard to code in the trading program. At the current level of the AI development these tasks are better performed by he live trader manually.
4. The expert advisors should be made quality or otherwise their trading results will disappoint you. Unfortunately, not all expert advisors handle errors and other unexpected events correctly — sometimes this can lead to the huge losses. Moving your working EA from one broker to another can also be a problem, since broker servers differ and what works perfectly on one broker can stop working on another.

As you see, nothing is perfect in this world and, while being the extremely interesting and popular tool, automated Forex trading has its own problems. The wise decision here, in my opinion, would be using both types of trading to your advantage. The systems that can be easily implemented as the expert advisor and are too hard to be traded manually are better to be automated, while the simple systems that involve chart pattern and fundamental analysis are better left for the manual trading

Advantages of the Automated Forex Trading

Trading with the expert advisors is seen by many (especially newbie) traders as the «holy grail» possibility. Such traders expect from each EA they find or buy the fast and risk-free profits. Of course, expert advisors are not the «holy grail» in Forex trading. Automated Forex trading is just another tool that can make the trader’s life a bit easier and sometimes even more profitable. Here is the list of the advantages of trading Forex with expert advisors:

1. With expert advisors you can trade during the time you can’t trade manually. You can set up an expert advisor to trade for you when you are asleep, when you are away or when you are too busy to be involved in the market. Of course, you can hire someone else to trade for you, when you are away, but that’s rather ineffective decision.
2. Strict following the trading system is another advantage of the automated Forex trading. If you have a strategy implemented in the expert advisor it will trade according to that strategy without any deviations. If you find it hard to follow your own system without modifying it constantly, try using an EA that would do all the work.
3. Automated trading excludes any emotions form your market behavior. Computers and programs don’t have any emotions and won’t overtrade if they lose. If you are not very good at holding your emotions down, automated trading will definitely help you.
4. Complicated strategies are not a problem for the expert advisors. For the live trader it’s not an easy task to monitor a dozen of indicators and compare each of them to the entry conditions, whereas expert advisors can do that easily and in no time at all.
5. «Errare humanum est» said the Roman stoic; that means that despite your experience in Forex trading, you’ll make a lot of stupid mistakes through your trading career. Computers are not human, and if programmed without errors, expert advisors won’t make any errors during the trading.
6. There are many things a live trader just can’t do — trading on multiple strategies, timeframes and currency pairs simultaneously is one of them. If you want to use your system on several currency pairs and timeframes — use expert advisor. If you want to test several systems at the same time — also use the expert advisor.
7. The time of reaction, analysis and decision making can be critical in many Forex trading systems. Where manual trader just can’t do it fast enough, automated systems will work fine

LONG TERM TRADE

Last nite jump was expected but GBPUSD never made it big. Only EURUSD and AUDUSD manage to jump big enough. EURUSD was screaming long from early morning yesterday while AUDUSD make the last minute move.

From a long term perspective. AUDUSD is in a good position for a short position. This is a long term strategy and may require you to have high tolerence toward -ve pips.

So the signal is to short AUDUSD and AUDJPY at the best position as humanly possible. This trade may run up to weeks if not months. So prepare your account for long term holding of post.

more good news

Tom Fitzpatrick, senior technical analyst at Citibank in New York.
Monday, July 15, 2002
"Parity is a psychological, not a technical level...and whether we pause around parity or not, we are likely to see significant further dollar losses...Our initial target is $1.03 to $1.0450. If that level is taken out, it actually casts a question mark against the whole of the dollar's rally of the last seven years, and could open up a full-blown bear market for the dollar."

current trades

S 100,000 usd/jpy from 116.15 , stop 116.32
S 70,000 usd/chf from 1.4563 , stop 1.4607, tp 1.45

new trade

Short 150,000 usd/jpy from 116.15 , stop 116.32
* this trade is comprised of two positions- one for 100,000 and a second for 50,000 .

The usd/jpy trade is in response to a fall below 116.20 towards 116. We'll have to see what happens at 116 , but I'm assuming it will penetrate towards 115.7 again.

eur/usd is up to 1.0080 again. There's a good chance it will hit 1.01 tonight , but to this point hasn't displayed sufficient momentum to break significantly higher. I'm frankly not sure which way it will move in the near term , so I'm sitting still. If there's a retracement to .99 or .98 , these levels might provide good buying opportunities. I have a suspicion that we'll be looking at 1.025 within the next month. This may not last long , but until dollar pressure has abated somewhat the dollar down draft will pull the euro higher.

New York Stock Exchange

View of the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange.

New York Stock Exchange is not open to the public for visits or tours.

Stock Exchange, London, England, 1999


Stock Exchange, London, England.
The London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange is all hustle and bustle on a busy day. Founded in 1982, LIFFE contributes to London's status as one of the world's leading financial centers.

(Photograph shot on assignment for, but not published in, "London on a Roll," June 2000, National Geographic magazine)

Russia's New IXSP Stock Exchange

The new IXSP stock exchange is coming to St. Petersburg - but when will it start trading?

(“NASDAQ Entering Russian Stock Market?”) I wrote about the OMX Group's (STO:OMX) plans to establish IXSP – a new Russian stock exchange that is targeted towards small to medium sized enterprises (SMEs). It seems that this process is accelerating. Now the IXSP has its own web-site – a very nice but simple one, listing major ideas that the promoters are planning to execute.